Ensemble Cloud Model Applications to Forecasting Thunderstorms
or
On the Resilience of Numerical Cloud Models in the Face of Abusive Assumptions

2001 Experiment

Procedure
Storm Prediction Center forecasters pick location of interest for day from July 15 through September 30
- Sounding selection
  - 3 models, 13 points around location
  - 3 times (18 Z, 21 Z, 00 Z)
Total of 78 soundings run out to 2 hours on a beowulf cluster (hardware so old it’s no longer available!)