Ensemble Cloud Model Applications to Forecasting Thunderstorms or On the Resilience of Numerical Cloud Models in the Face of Abusive Assumptions

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Example of Sensitivity to Mesoscale Model

Graphic shows colored dots indicating storm lifetime for 010722 Ensemble 1

• Green = lifetime 10-40 min
• Orange = lifetime 40-60 min
• Red = lifetime 60+ min
• Red Circle = meets supercell criteria
  

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