Cloud-Scale Model Forecasts: Extreme Sensitivity to Environmental Conditions

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Predecessors

• Storm Type Operational Research Model Test Including Predictability Evaluation '91 and '95
  • In some cases, COMMAS is sensitive to temperature differences as small as 1 K at 700 hPa.
  • Single model runs are insufficient for an accurate forecast of convective storm because of model sensitivity to initial conditions
    

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